Thursday, June 25, 2009

Advertising During The Simpsons More Expensive on Hulu than TV

We'll laugh at this headline in the not so distant future, but for
the first time, buying a 30-second ad during a Fox broadcast of The Simpsons costs less than buying the same ad on Hulu.

Television broadcast ads during The Simpsons cost $20-$40 per thousand viewers. On the web, the rate jumps to $60.


Shows like The Simpsons and CSI are now commanding
higher ad rates on Hulu and TV.com than on television. It's a byproduct
viewers being twice as likely to recall web ads than TV ads, according
to Neilsen. (Which I would argue is a byproduct of Hulu showing us far
fewer ads.)


But before we all declare TV dead, remember that Hulu has only 37
seconds of ads per "30-minute" show while a Fox broadcast includes a
whopping 9 minutes of sales pitches. So there's still technically more
money in TV, which will change as soon as Hulu begins cramming 9
minutes of ads into each program.

Article Link

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Opportunities For Entrepreneurs, New Venture Intermediaries

If AdSense is in decline, that leaves open a big market for
entrepreneurs. Publishing is not a winner-take-all market. Google will
not control all online inventory. Advertisers and their agencies like
choice. And users click on whatever is relevant.



We see two plays in this environment:



  1. Match relevance. Match relevance means parsing
    content to deliver more relevant ads. This is easy to say and hard to
    do. A lot of smart semantic tech ventures are focusing on this problem.
    This is smarter use of search technology than Quixotic tilting at
    Google's search bar dominance.
  2. Connecting CPM to CPA. This is another hard
    problem to solve but promises a huge payoff for the winner. Publishers
    like selling CPM (cost per mille): it is easy for them, and the burden
    of performing lies with the advertiser. Advertisers, on the other hand,
    like CPA (cost per action or acquisition): it is easy for them,
    and the burden of performing lies with the publisher. Both parties look
    at the CPC (cost per click), because that is trackable from both sides
    of the transaction. But CPC is just a proxy for what each really wants:
    CPM and CPA, respectively. Any venture that brings publishers and
    advertisers together with a deal that satisfies the needs of both will
    do very well. There is a huge opportunity here. High-quality websites
    that really engage with their audience will certainly do well by CPA
    metrics, but the solution will have to be really easy to implement.
Article link

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

The State of the Market in Semantic Technologies

Tools


  • Semantic data mgmt
  • Semantic data generation
  • Databases
  • Integration and workflow

Tague said that tools are important, particularly in the enterprise.
He sounded a note of caution to tools vendors: they need to simplify
their stories, along with have "simple basic tools."


Social


  • Semantics-powered link sharing
  • Network mining
  • News sharing
  • Tweet mining

Tague said that we shouldn't focus on providing "frosting" on top of
current social Web tools. He advised to focus on commercial
imperatives, such as the categories above.


Advertising


  • Semantic ad placement
  • Contextual ad placement
  • Semantically driven landing pages
  • Mashup ads

There are clearly opportunities to improve advertising using semantic technology, said Tague.


Search


Tague noted that semantic search may be "the answer to the question
nobody is asking." He said that we should look at general "semantic
search" vs domain specific semantically-enhanced search. The latter is
where the commercial opportunity actually is, but he questioned the
economics of general semantic search.


Publishing


He put this into 3 sub-categories:


  • A-Content Producers - from back office to user experience
  • B-Editorial + Aggregation Publishing Models
  • C-Robotic publishing - aggregation only

Tague explained that Calais has really focused on this over the last
8-9 months. He said that classic publishers can get an enormous amount
of value from this. Right now the big focus is "back in the bolier
room," for example to cut editors from 3 to 2. He expects that later on
more focus will go on enhancing the user experience.


Tague thinks that B is the biggest opportunity, using Huffington
Post as an example. He said that it gives a "near newspaper like
experience" at perhaps a 5th of the cost. It's an area where they're
seeing adoption of Calais.


Interface


Tague noted that gaming is a huge industry that the semantic technology industry can learn from. He listed these attributes:


  • Great story line
  • High interactivity, immediate responsiveness
  • No interuptions
  • Graphically engaging
  • Seamless
  • Fun

So he asked who out there is trying to really change the user
experience in semantic technology? He listed 4 companies (all of whom
we've profiled on ReadWriteWeb):


  • Zemanta
  • Apture
  • Feedly
  • Glue

Tague told the audience that the next big innovation in interface
will be something that stays with the user where they are, which will
be mobile and in the browser.

Article Link

Saturday, June 6, 2009

Report on Mobile Web Use Displays Apple/Android Usability Issues, Successes

According to the Admob release, "While Gartner estimated global
smartphone sales represented 12 percent of total device sales in 2008,
35 percent of AdMob's worldwide ad requests in April 2009 came from
smartphones. This means that smartphones accounted for nearly three
times more usage than their relative market share." This might seem a
bit of a no-brainer; mobile web browsing on traditional handsets is
nothing short of torture and leaves the user less in the mood for
checking out ads and more in the mood for bloodsport.

Article Link

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Mobile Ad Spending to Grow to $5.7 Billion

Advertising budgets for spending on mobile channels will hit $5.7 billion by 2014, according to UK-based market research firm Juniper Research. That will be just 1.5 percent of global ad spend, the firm predicts. Still, it looks like a good enough opportunity for Google and upstarts such as AdMob.

Article Link

Monday, April 20, 2009

Reid Hoffman: My Rule of Three for Investing

1. How will you reach a massive audience?


In real estate the wisdom says “location, location, location.” In
consumer Internet, think “distribution, distribution, distribution.”
Thousands of products launch every month on hundreds of thousands of
new Web pages. How does a company rise above the noise to attract
massive discovery and adoption? YouTube did it through existing
channels like MySpace, which already reached millions. Yelp had strong
SEO, which found them a mass audience searching for restaurants and
nightlife. Facebook’s University-centric approach landed them 80%
adoption across a campus within 60 days of launch. Every Net
entrepreneur should answer these questions: How do we get to one
million users? Then how do we get to 10 million users? Then how will
you get deep engagement by your users.


2. What is your unique value proposition?


The Internet space is crowded. A product needs to be sufficiently
innovative to distinguish itself from the pack, but not so forward
thinking as to alienate the user. Many entrepreneurs create incremental
improvements on existing products. This can be big – Google
revolutionized search when AOL and Yahoo! were presumed to have it
locked up – but more often, the pitch sounds like, “It’s a dating site,
but for senior citizens…” I want to see innovation that is
categorically distinct from existing propositions. Digg lets users
decide which headlines are newsworthy. Last.fm tracks music listening
with an iTunes plugin and buffer great music discovery. Flickr enables
users to share and tag photos in new ways.


3. Will your business be capital efficient?


This may be the most important of the three. Even if you have a mass
audience and unique value prop, a business fails without cash flow. An
initial round of financing is important, but how reliable is later
financing? Will investors see the right elements in the next stage?
Your product must scale intelligently – this is why I like software. A
well-coded site can adapt to mass demand without its capital
expenditures scaling out of control. A product like TypePad can grow to
10 million users without half the growing pains of a service like
WebVan, the Web 1.0 startup that attempted to deliver groceries to
users’ doorsteps. Try reaching Facebook scale with a service like that.


With these three elements in place – mass audience, unique value,
stable funding – a startup has time to discover where it can make
money. Few business plans ever pan out like their owners intend. PayPal
started as a plan to beam payments between Palm Pilots. Google raised
funds with a vision to capitalize on enterprise search and ended up in
advertising. The formula is to build an audience with a great product –
then secure enough funding to figure out how to make it pay.


Since I’m focused on building LinkedIn, I’m not currently investing
in new projects, but I firmly believe now is the time to take smart
risks as entrepreneurs and investors. I hope these criteria help
startups make better pitches as they fundraise, and maybe even
encourage others to take the plunge. Good ideas need good strategy to
realize their potential, and if these criteria help a few more
companies find capital, it’s a win for everyone.


Article Link